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Scenarios
Advantages / Limitations:
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- Scenarios help illuminate the interaction of psychological,
social, economic, cultural, political and military dimensions in a form
that permits understanding many such interactions at once.
- They are especially useful for policy decisions.
- Scenarios help stimulate and discipline the imagination
- Scenarios generally have illustrative and pedagogical value for the decision maker.
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- It is a formidable task to take into account and successfully
predict the interplay of the various dimensions (e.g. social,
political, etc.).
- Scenarios suffer from uniqueness; they represent only the
views of those experts who constructed them, and there is no guarantee
that the future is accurately predicted.
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